Yankees vs Mets MLB Subway Series Predictions & Picks (6/25)

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The first half of the 2024 MLB Subway Series commences on Tuesday as the New York Yankees (52-28) are set to travel to Citi Field to face the New York Mets (37-39) at 7:10 p.m. ET.

The Yankees’ latest slump continued over the week with Sunday’s 3-1 loss to the Atlanta Braves. Conversely, The Mets are hoping for a second win in a row after pulling off a 5-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs two nights ago.

Who’ll win the latest chapter of the infamous Subway Series?

Let’s discuss that by diving into my Yankees vs. Mets MLB predictions and best bets.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 37-40-0 (48.1%)

MLB Betting Today: Subway Series Game 1 (6/25)

Yankees vs Mets Game Information

Matchup: New York Yankees (52-28, 28-14 Away) vs. New York Mets (37-39, 18-23 Home)
Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
Date: Tuesday, June 25, 2024
Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
How to Watch Yankees vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, TBS

Yankees vs Mets MLB Probable Pitchers

Yankees: Gerrit Cole (1 start — 0-0, 4.50 ERA)
Mets: David Peterson (5 starts — 3-0, 3.97 ERA)

Mets vs Yankees MLB Odds & Spread

Mets vs. Yankees MLB odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Tuesday, June 25 at 10:27 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Yankees vs Mets Run Line

New York Yankees -1.5 (+112)
New York Mets +1.5 (-132)

Mets vs Yankees Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-104)
Under 8.5 Runs (-116)

Yankees vs Mets Moneyline

New York Yankees (-138)
New York Mets (+127)

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Yankees vs Mets MLB Betting Trends

The Yankees are 15-5 straight up in their last 20 road games.
The Mets are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games.
The total hit the Over in four of the Yankees’ last five games.
The total hit the Over in four of the Mets’ last six games vs. the AL East.
The total hit the Under in five of the last seven Yankees-Mets matchups.

Yankees vs Mets Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/25)

The standings indicate that the Yankees are still one of the MLB’s best teams, but it sure hasn’t felt that way lately.

The Bronx Bombers begin the 2024 Subway Series in somewhat of a rut, having gone 2-6 SU across their last eight games. The rough patch means they’re now tied with the Cleveland Guardians for first in the American League despite being in sole possession of the honor not that long ago.

The inability to halt the opposition’s offense has been the main reason behind those struggles. After all, the Yankees surrendered 7.1 runs per game during that stretch.

The Mets, meanwhile, have been one of baseball’s hotter teams. After a rough start to the year, Carlos Mendoza’s club is just two wins away from the .500 mark after going 13-4 SU across the last 17 games. Their 71.4% winning percentage along the way is No. 1 in the Majors.

The Mets have been flying high throughout June, winning 13 of their last 17 games.

Tonight’s matchup also marks the Mets’ return to Citi Field, where they’ve won five games in a row by a plus-3.4 average run margin. At the same time, we can’t ignore that the Yankees are winners of 15 of their last 20 road games while owning a 9-3 SU away record against the National League in 2024.

Conversely, the Mets are just 5-10 SU against AL clubs overall this season.

The Yankees are interested in seeing how Gerrit Cole fares in his second start of the year after giving up two earned runs on three hits to the Baltimore Orioles across four innings last week. The reigning AL Cy Young winner last faced the Mets back on June 14, 2023, striking out eight batters with one run allowed in a 4-3 loss for the Yankees.

Meanwhile, the Mets are rolling with David Peterson, who’s off to a solid start with a 3-0 with a 3.97 ERA through four appearances. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old southpaw struggled in his two previous starts against the Yankees, allowing five earned runs, a homer, and four walks in just 4 1/3 innings.

Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole needs a bounce-back performance after looking fairly average in his 2024 debut.

Even though luck hasn’t been on their side lately, I’m taking the Yankees to open the Subway Series with a win. They’re due to bounce back and I see that happening tonight against Peterson, who’s only had nightmare starts against the Bronx Bombers. Besides, the Mets are just 2-4 SU in the last six games against their crosstown rivals.

With that being said, we’ll stick with a Yankees moneyline bet before turning our attention to the best prop.

Yankees vs. Mets MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Yankees vs. Mets Bet: NYY ML (-138)

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Best Yankees vs Mets MLB Player Prop (6/25)

If you’re seeking a Yankees vs. Mets player prop for this evening, I suggest targeting Aaron Judge o1.5 total bases (-104).

Judge has been phenomenal throughout the year and his play has only gotten better with time. The MLB’s home run leader is slashing .327/.422./.764 with 18 hits and seven home runs in his last 15 games, racking up 42 total bases along the way (3.0 per game). He even finished with the Over on this prop in eight of those contests.

Additionally, Judge tends to love facing the Mets. In his last six games against the NL rival, the 32-year-old slugger amassed 23 TBs while hitting the Over four times, tallying eight hits with five HRs and a .348 batting average.

Even if the Yankees have been struggling, you can still trust Judge with this prop.

Yankees vs Mets MLB Subway Series Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (6/25)

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 37-40-0 (48.1%)