UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Full Card Odds, Prelim Picks, Start Time, How to Watch, & More
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After a ton of controversy, UFC 303 is finally arriving this weekend. The Ultimate Fighting Championship’s latest pay-per-view takes over T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday with a card that’s headlined by a light heavyweight championship bout between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka.
Just like with any UFC PPV, this weekend’s festivities are stacked with MMA betting opportunities. Figuring out where to find the latest odds and where to start can be tough, though, which is why Betting News is here to help.
Our UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 coverage kicks off with this full card preview, which features the latest odds for every fight and my preliminary card picks.
UFC 303 Main Card Fights & Odds
All UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, June 24 at 11:24 a.m.
UFC 303 Main event: Alex Pereira (c) vs. Jiri Prochazka 2 — Light Heavyweight
- Record: Alex Pereira (10-2) vs. Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1)
- Moneyline: Alex Pereira (-150) | Jiri Prochazka (+130)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
- Most likely method of victory: TBD
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UFC 303 Co-Main Event: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes — Featherweight
- Record: Brian Ortega (16-3, 1 NC) vs. Diego Lopes (24-6)
- Moneyline: Brian Ortega (+105) | Diego Lopes (-125)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
- Most likely method of victory: TBD
Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze — Light Heavyweight
- Record: Anthony Smith (38-19) vs. Roman Dolidze (12-3)
- Moneyline: Anthony Smith (+105) | Roman Dolidze (-125)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
- Most likely method of victory: TBD
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Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson — Women’s Bantamweight
- Record: Mayra Bueno Silva (10-3-1, 1 NC) vs. Macy Chiasson (9-3)
- Moneyline: Mayra Bueno Silva (-131) | Macy Chiasson (+111)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
- Most likely method of victory: TBD
Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page — Welterweight
- Record: Ian Machado Garry (14-0) vs. Michael Page (22-2)
- Moneyline: Ian Machado Garry (-133) | Michael Page (+113)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-220) | Under (+180)
- Most likely method of victory: TBD
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UFC 303 Preliminary & Early Prelim Card Odds & Picks
UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Fight Record: 4-1
UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Best Bet Record: 3-2
Joe Pyfer vs. Marc-André Barriault — Middleweight
- Record: Joe Pyfer (12-3) vs. Marc-André Barriault (16-7, 1 NC)
- Moneyline: Joe Pyfer (-285) | Marc-André Barriault (+245)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (+100) | Under (-130)
It’s hard to go against oddsmakers here when Joe Pyfer has been on a roll ahead of UFC 303. Yes, he’s coming off a hard-fought loss to Jack Hermansson in February, but let’s not forget that Pyfer finished five consecutive opponents before that loss. Marc-André Barriault is a solid veteran, but he hasn’t exactly been beating noteworthy opponents and has finished two in his last six outings.
Props are unavailable for now, so let’s go with Under 2.5 total rounds. After all, the Under is 12-1 in Pyfer’s last 13 bouts.
Pyfer vs. Barriault Prediction: Joe Pyfer
Pyfer vs. Barriault Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-130)
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Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili — Featherweight
- Record: Cub Swanson (29-13) vs. Andre Fili (23-11, 1 NC)
- Moneyline: Cub Swanson (+219) | Andre Fili (-259)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-120) | Under (-110)
Even though the odds are one-sided, I could see this fight going either way. Swanson is 4-2 in his last six fights, but hasn’t stepped in the octagon since August 2023 and is now 40 years old. Meanwhile, Andre Fili has fought to mixed results, going 2-4 with a no-contest in his last seven fights, and is coming off a first-round KO loss to Dan Ige.
I’d avoid betting on this fight altogether, however, back the Under on the 2.5-round total if you want to get in on the action. Not only is the Under 3-2 in Swanson’s last five fights but it’s also 4-2 in Fili’s six previous outings.
Swanson vs. Fili Prediction: Andre Fili
Swanson vs. Fili Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-110)
Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva — Featherweight
- Record: Charles Jourdain (15-7-1) vs. Jean Silva (12-2)
- Moneyline: Charles Jourdain (-119) | Jean Silva (-101)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-150) | Under (+120)
This featherweight bout has some show-stealing potential. Charles Jourdain is a battle-proven veteran who’s looking to rebound from a split-decision loss to Sean Woodson while Jean Silva is aiming for his 10th consecutive win after TKO’ing Westin Wilson in his UFC debut.
I’m taking the underdog to win this bout. While Jourdain has more experience and is slightly bigger, Silva is the better grappler of the two and hasn’t lost a fight in over six years. Sparks should fly as the 27-year-old continues his hot streak.
Jourdain vs. Silva Prediction: Jean Silva
Jourdain vs. Silva Best Bet: Silva ML (-101)
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Payton Talbott vs. Yanis Ghemmouri — Bantamweight
- Record: Payton Talbott (8-0) vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (12-2)
- Moneyline: Payton Talbott (-1800) | Yanis Ghemmouri (+1100)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-135) | Under (+105)
Payton Talbott is the biggest favorite on the UFC 303 card as his -1800 moneyline odds carry an implied win probability of 94.8%. He’s finished seven of his eight opponents thus far and improved to 2-0 on his UFC run with a TKO win over Cameron Saaiman in March.
After Yanis Ghemmouri was TKO’d by William Gomis in his debut, it’s clear that we shouldn’t expect an upset. Three of Talbott’s last four fights reached Round 3, though, making the Over the best bet here.
Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Prediction: Payton Talbott
Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Best Bet: o1.5 Total Rounds (-135)
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Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs. Gillian Robertson — Women’s Strawweight
- Record: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12) vs. Gillian Robertson (13-8)
- Moneyline: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (+147) | Gillian Robertson (-172)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-165) | Under (+135)
Upsets are a part of sports, but I don’t expect one in this UFC 303 fight. Michelle Waterson-Gomez deserves to be the underdog after losing six of her last seven fights and each of the last four in a row, including a second-round TKO loss to Marina Rodriguez back in September.
Gillian Robertson isn’t perfect, but she’s in a better spot to win with four victories in her last six outings — including when she TKO’d Polyana Viana to earn ‘performance of the night’ honors at UFC 297.
Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Prediction: Gillian Robertson
Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Best Bet: Gillian Robertson ML (-172)
Andrei Arlovski vs. Martin Buday — Heavyweight
- Record: Andrei Arlovski (34-23, 2 NC) vs. Martin Buday (13-2)
- Moneyline: Andrei Arlovski (+220) | Martin Buday (-260)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
Andrei Arlovski’s best days are firmly in the past as he heads to UFC 303 following three consecutive losses, including two via knockout/submission. The former UFC Heavyweight Champion now has to deal with Martin Buday, who’s hungry to win after being knocked out by Shamil Gaziev less than seven months ago.
Arlovski needs to hang up the gloves at this point because the 45-year-old no longer belongs in the cage. Three of Buday’s last five fights went the distance, though, while seven of Arlovski’s last 10 did the same, making the Over the best available betting option.
Arlovski vs. Buday Prediction: Martin Buday
Arlovski vs. Buday Best Bet: o2.5 Total Rounds (-185)
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Rei Tsuruya vs. Carlos Hernandez — Flyweight
- Record: Rei Tsuruya (9-0) vs. Carlos Hernandez (9-3)
- Moneyline: Rei Tsuruya (-600) | Carlos Hernandez (+425)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (+150) | Under (-180)
Here’s another fight that I won’t overthink. While the debuting Rei Tsuruya is 9-0 to begin his MMA career, Carlos Hernandez has already been finished twice through his first three UFC fights and doesn’t look like he belongs in the promotion.
With an 88.9% finish rate to his name, I see Tsuruya ending things early.
Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Prediction: Rei Tsuruya
Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-180)
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Ricky Simon vs. Vinicius Oliveira — Bantamweight
- Record: Ricky Simon (20-5) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (20-3)
- Moneyline: Ricky Simon (-210) | Vinicius Oliveira (+180)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-110) | Under (-120)
Vinicius Oliveira debuted with a win over Bernando Sopai in March, earning his third consecutive knockout victory in the process. He now is set to face Ricky Simon, who desperately needs a win after suffering back-to-back losses for the first time in five years.
Even though Simon has more experience, I’m going with an upset. Oliveira has solid potential and has the perfect opportunity to catch his opponent in the middle of a slump. It won’t be easy, but sprinkling some money on an Oliveira upset is worth it.
Simon vs. Oliveira Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira
Simon vs. Oliveira Best Bet: Olivaira ML (+180)
UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Information & FAQ
When is UFC 303?
- UFC 303 will take place on Saturday, June 29, 2024.
Where is UFC 303?
- UFC 303 airs live from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.
What time does UFC 303 start?
- UFC 303 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
- UFC 303 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
- UFC 303 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET
How to Watch UFC 303
- UFC 303 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+, ESPN
- UFC 303 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
- UFC 303 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
How to Bet on UFC 303
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