Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets for Western Conference Finals (5/28)

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After the Boston Celtics punched their NBA Finals ticket yesterday, the Dallas Mavericks have the opportunity to do the same when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday.

Game 3 ✅@ModeloUSA // #OneForDallas #MFFL pic.twitter.com/O2KVMv7QSw

— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) May 27, 2024

The Mavericks put the Timberwolves in a 3-0 chokehold with Game 3’s 116-107 victory. Minnesota simply didn’t have an answer for the dynamic duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who scored 33 points apiece while combing for 10 rebounds, nine assists, and six steals.

Does Minnesota have what it takes to stay alive? Or will Dallas win again to reach the championship round?

It’s Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4 tonight and everything you need to know — from an expert prediction to the best NBA bets — is below.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Betting Tonight (5/28)

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Information

  • Matchup: No. 3 Minnesota Timberwolves vs. No. 5 Dallas Mavericks (DAL leads 3-0)
  • Venue & Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
  • Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4: TNT

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves NBA Game 4 Betting Odds & Spread

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves NBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, May 28 at 10:53 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread

  • Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 (-110)
  • Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (-110)

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under

  • Over 210.5 Points (-110)
  • Under 210.5 Points (-110)

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Moneyline

  • Minnesota Timberwolves (+102)
  • Dallas Mavericks (-122)

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NBA Best Bets and Picks Today

Looking to get in on even more NBA picks tonight? Check out our NBA Picks page for consensus picks for every 2023-24 playoff game.

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Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Betting Trends

  • Minnesota is 2-6 straight up in its last eight games.
  • Dallas is 12-3 straight up in its last 15 games.
  • Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. Dallas.
  • Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
  • The total hit the Over in six of Minnesota’s last eight games.
  • The total hit the Under in five of Dallas’ last six games on Tuesday.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Predictions & NBA Picks Today (5/28)

As they find themselves in a 3-0 hole tonight, it’s safe to say that the Western Conference Finals haven’t gone as the Timberwolves planned. Despite keeping the contests relatively close, Minnesota has been unable to get the better of Dallas, being outscored by an average of 4.3 points per game thus far.

A big reason why the Mavericks have the chance to advance tonight is because they’ve successfully shut down the Timberwolves’ best players. Anthony Edwards is putting up 22.0 PPG with .386/.333/.833 splits while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging just 15.0 points while shooting 27.8% from the floor and 13.6% from deep. Even Rudy Gobert is only averaging 7.7 rebounds per outing.

Meanwhile, the Mavs’ top players are putting on a show. Doncic (32.7 PTS/7.7 REB/8.7 AST) and Irving (27.7 PTS/4.0 REB/4.7 AST) are showing up more often than not and have demonstrated impressive efficiency throughout the series. Without their consistency, Dallas would most likely be toast.

The Timberwolves need the likes of Anthony Edwards to step up if they want to keep their postseason hopes alive. 

It’s worth pointing out that the Timberwolves haven’t been playing the most consistent brand of basketball lately. Despite being in the Western Conference Finals, Minnesota has still lost six of its last eight games dating back to the second round.

I also can’t ignore the fact that the T-wolves are also 2-6 ATS during that stretch. What makes matters worse is that they’re also 1-5 ATS in their last six encounters with the Mavericks, who have covered the spread in four of their last six outings.

Additionally, the Mavs are 7-2 SU in their last nine home games against the Timberwolves. Interestingly enough, all but one of those victories came by multiple possessions.

Having said that, we’re taking Dallas to win tonight. The Mavericks have found a way to show up every night, whereas the Timberwolves are barely getting anything out of their top players. It’s clear that the Mavs’ postseason experience is paying off at this point, so look for that trend to continue.

I’m also going to back the Mavericks to cover the spread considering that winning by two-plus points isn’t that big of an ask.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Prediction: DAL wins

Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Bet: DAL -1.5 (-110)

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Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Prop Bet (5/28)

With how this series has gone thus far, I have no reason not to take Luka Doncic o30.5 points (-124) for the best Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 prop.

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Doncic has been his usual self lately, averaging 31.6 points on .500/.449/.882 splits in his last five games. The Slovenian superstar finished four of those outings with the Over on tonight’s total, which includes making good on this prop in each of this series’ first three games. In fact, he’s now hit the Over in six consecutive encounters with the T-wolves.

As he’s showing zero signs of slowing down, it’s clear that you won’t want to miss out on this Doncic-based prop.

Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Prop Bet: Luka Doncic o30.5 Total Points (-124)

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves Series Schedule

  • Game 1: @ Target Center — Wednesday, May 22 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 2: @ Target Center — Friday, May 24 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 3: @ American Airlines Center — Sunday, May 26 at 8 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 4: @ American Airlines Center — Tuesday, May 28 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 5: @ Target Center — Thursday, May 30 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 6: @ American Airlines Center — Saturday, June 1 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
  • Game 7: @ Target Center — Monday, June 3 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
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