Sun vs Aces Prediction & Picks (6/21): Will the Champs Claim Clash of Contenders at Home?

With one of their stars back on the court and a run of winnable games coming up, the Las Vegas Aces have a chance to make a move up the WNBA standings in the coming weeks. First up, however, is a matchup with a fellow championship contender as the Connecticut Sun visit Michelob Ultra Arena tonight (10:00 pm ET, ION).

On Wednesday, star point guard and U.S. Olympic team selection Chelsea Gray made her 2024 season debut as the Aces (7-6) defeated the Seattle Storm 94-83. In 16 minutes of action, Gray, who had a career-best season in 2023 (15.4 PPG, 7.3 APG, 4.0 APG, 42.1% 3PT), dished out seven assists.

Following tonight’s matchup with the Sun (13-1), nine of the Aces’ last ten games before the Olympic break are against teams currently below .500. The lone exception is a July 10 visit to Seattle.

So, the two-time defending WNBA champions will have a chance to dig themselves at least partially out of the hole they find themselves due to their several early losses. Will they enter this upcoming favorable stretch with a victory over the hottest team in the league?

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Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Odds

Sun vs Aces odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on Sunday’s WNBA games.

Spread

  • Connecticut Sun +5 (-104)
  • Las Vegas Aces -5 (-116)

Over/Under

  • Over 165 (-110)
  • Under 165 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Connecticut Sun +195
  • Las Vegas Aces -225

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Betting Analysis

Is this when we will finally start seeing the best version of the Aces?

For all the points they have scored this season—the Aces are first in the WNBA in scoring at 87.4 PPG—they haven’t done so consistently, and their defensive efforts have left something to be desired on numerous occasions.

With Gray back in the fold on Wednesday, the Aces shot 40.0% (8 of 20) from three and 55.6% (35 of 63) from the field overall and had 25 assists on their 35 made baskets. On the defensive end, they held the Storm to 25% (4 of 16) from three and 44.3% (31 of 70) from the field overall, and they forced 15 turnovers.

A strong effort on both ends will be needed tonight against the Sun, who lead the WNBA in scoring defense (70.7 PPG) and turnover differential (+4.1).

Offensively, Connecticut may not be on par with the Aces, Liberty, or Lynx. But they opened the season by averaging 86.6 PPG in their first five games and have averaged 84.0 PPG in their last four games since being held to 75 by the Liberty in their lone loss of the season.

To win tonight, they may need to flex their muscles offensively a bit more. Keeping the Aces under 80 points is not an easy feat. Only the Storm and Atlanta Dream have done so this season, and dating back to last season, the Aces have scored 80+ points in 45 of 53 regular season games.

It may take time for Gray to hit her stride, but the Aces are a complete unit with her healthy. Her return will prove to be a rather timely one, both tonight and going forward. The Sun have the WNBA’s best record, but the Aces will show why they’re still the team to beat tonight.

Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks

Sun vs Aces Prediction: Aces to win

Sun vs Aces Picks: Aces -5 & Sun/Aces over 165

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Other WNBA Betting Information

Where to Bet on the WNBA This Season

Thanks to the growing popularity of the WNBA and women’s basketball, WNBA odds are available far and wide this season.

In addition to offering odds on each game on the schedule, many sportsbooks also offer a variety of WNBA futures odds, such as championship winner odds, WNBA MVP odds, win total odds, and more.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for WNBA betting. In addition to BetOnline, here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

  • BetDSI (review)
  • BetUS (review)
  • Bookmaker (review)
  • Bovada (review)
  • MyBookie (review)
  • Sportsbetting.ag (review)

What if you don’t have an account at a book on this list? Check out our reviews to help you determine if it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About WNBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the WNBA? Check out our WNBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about betting on WNBA player prop bets, our NBA player props guide is a handy resource to utilize.

Did you enjoy this Sun vs Aces betting breakdown? We will have plenty of content dedicated to the WNBA this season, so bookmark the site so you don’t miss out on any of what is in store.

Also, follow Betting News on X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok. On each of those channels, you can get more WNBA betting insight from myself and the rest of our team.

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