Saturday MLB Must Bet Props: Home Runs, Total Bases & Sides | June 1, 2024
Happy Saturday to all of the sick, degenerate filth animals out there. It is Saturday, the most beautiful day of the week. It is a day to be kind to all, surround yourself with loved ones, and win as one.
I will start our day with a couple of props from the diamond. All of the bets will be on the Rays vs. Orioles game.
Happy Saturday. Let’s Rage.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Saturday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
Yesterday the card went up +5.19 units, thanks to a Mr. David Fry, who in fact loves Fridays.
Let’s keep that energy going!
Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles (-166)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
The Stank:
MLB Saturday Must Bet Props: Home Runs, Total Bases & Sides | June 1, 2024
“You wanna be a boss, you gotta pay the price.” – BossMan Dlow
BossMan Dlow is right. We will be bosses today and pay the juice today with the Orioles as they take on the Tampa Bay Rays for game two of their three-game series.
The Orioles take on Rays starter Taj Bradley after the game-one victory last night. Over the past few years, Bradley has been giving up a boatload of hard contact. According to Batters-Box.com, Bradley had the highest average hitter matchup hard contact in both the default and current season ratings.
Although the two-year starter gives up a lot of hard contact, he does strike out a lot of hitters. If that is the only major concern, I can live with that because the Orioles have three elite hitters on the default ratings and five on the current season ratings. On top of that, they have zero poor-rated hitters on both ratings.
Baltimore has also been one of the best teams scoring in the first five innings at home, scoring on average 3.23 runs. I have also added Baltimore’s team total over 2.5 (+120) for transparency. The value alone is worth even the smallest of sprinkles.
Back Bradish and Baltimore
On the other hand, the Orioles have Kyle Bradish on the bump today. He has been fantastic out of the gate this season. In five starts, he is posting a 1.75 ERA with a WHIP of 1.05. The 27-year-old has the best current season rating on the day for pitchers. There are eight poor-rated hitters, seven of which are above the league strikeout rate. In the default ratings, he still has a great rating, but those default ratings go back three years.
The Rays have not been the Rays we have become accustomed to over the past few years; they are one of the worst teams in scoring in the first five innings, scoring 1.90 runs (3rd worst). They are only ahead of the Oakland Athletics and the Chicago White Sucks…sorry my finger slipped…Sox. They have shown they can come back late in games, but I think the Orioles bullpen can hold it down.
I will gladly pay the price and ride with the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline.
MLB Player Prop Bet: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
The Stank:
Let’s dive into the player props market.
Today, the number one hitter on Batters-box.com in both the current season and default ratings is Mr. Gunnar Henderson. The Orioles’ stud shortstop has been electrifying all year long at home, hitting .259, with an OPS of .939, while mashing 18 home runs (tied-2nd most). Today, we just need the 22-year-old to go over 1.5 total bases. With an elite rating, Henderson goes over this prop 56.72% of the time. He records at least a hit 71.64% of the time. He has also exceeded this number in 27 of his 55 games this year.
The favorable matchup between Henderson and Taj Bradley’s pitches makes today’s game even more enticing. Henderson put up exceptional numbers this season against curveballs and splitters, with averages above .400, an OPS as high as 1.250, and a wRC+ well above 300. These mouthwatering numbers indicate that the odds should be in our favor today as young Gunnar Henderson and the Orioles roster prepare to face Bradley and the Rays.
Sprinkle of the Day: Gunnar Henderson Home Run (+490)
- Records a home run 26.87% of games he has an elite rating in
Where to find more advanced analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all of my picks and sports opinions!
Be sure to check out all things Betting News on X and Twitch!
While you are at it go get some merch at our Betting News Store!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.2/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Watch Live Games
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.4/5 Review Rating 125% Deposit Bonus or $25 Free Bet
Bonus Details »
Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses
Largest Selection of Sports & Games
4.4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Odds Open Very Early
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $750
Bonus Details »
Very Fast Payout Times
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Interested in Learning More About Betting on the MLB?
We have tons of MLB betting resources, ranging from daily predictions to expert picks and you can find them below to help you get started.
- MLB Betting Articles
- MLB Betting Odds
- MLB Picks Page
Also, follow Betting News on X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok to get more daily sports betting insight and more from the Betting News team.
- Betting News on “X”/Twitter
- Betting News on Twitch
- Betting News on TikTok
