Rockies @ Reds: MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)

It’s Friday Junior (Thursday), and we’ve got 4 baseball games on this beautiful afternoon. We’re taking a trip down to Great America Ballpark for this one, we’ve got the Rockies taking on the Reds after a narrow victory last night..

Here are our best bets for the Rockies vs. Reds!

  • Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) BetOnline
  • Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) BetOnline
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Rockies @ Reds Game Information

Sam Hilliard hit two home runs and recorded 3 RBI to help propel the Rockies to a win in Great America Ballpark.

Matchup Information

  • Location: Great America Ballpark; Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
  • First Pitch: 1:10 PM EST

Pitching Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies: Austin Gomber (2-54.47 ERA)
  • Cincinnati Reds: Hunter Greene (543.45 ERA)

Betting Odds

Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.

Run Line

  • Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-125)
  • Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+105)

Money Line

  • Colorado Rockies (+175)
  • Cincinnati Reds (-192)

Total

  • Over 9 (-105)
  • Under 9 (-115)

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Rockies @ Reds Analysis & Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz is leading the MLB this year with 45 stolen bases, while Brice Turang of the Brewers is in second place with 29.

The Reds and Rockies have not been elite by any metric this year. Cincinnati enters this game 5 games below 0.500 and sitting 5th in the NL Central. 

The Rockies have not shown any improvement. They presently have a 33-60 record and are at the bottom of their division. So far this season, the Rockies and the Reds have faced off 6 times, with the Reds emerging victorious in 5 of the 6 games.

Colorado’s lone win came last night, despite a late rally by the Reds that fell short in the top of the 9th inning. The Rockies will have left handed turkey tosser, Austin Gomber on the mound.

Unlike most of the Rockies’ starters, Gomber’s numbers actually get worse outside of Coors Field. He’s got a 5.44 road ERA and he’s given up 5+ hits in 9 of his L10 starts, all this season.

The Reds are set to examine Hunter Greene’s performance. Despite his 3.45 ERA and conceding 9 home runs this year, Greene has been excellent at striking out his opposition.

The Rockies, who have the 4th highest strikeout rate in the league, could face another challenging game tonight with Greene pitching.

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

This season, De La Cruz has a batting average of 0.360 against the Rockies.

Elly De La Dong, what a cool nickname. Cruz is really becoming the stud everyone expecting him to be and maybe even a little more. He’s had his issues seeing the ball, batting just 0.250; but he’s also recorded 15 home runs, 40 RBI, 62 runs scored and 45 stolen bases.

Elly is currently the leading player in stolen bases, followed by Brice Turang with 29 stolen bases. Turang has only faced Gomber once in his career, where he scored 1/3 with a single.

He also has a batting average of 0.360 against the Rockies this year and 0.405 in his nine career games against them. Elly has hit his base line in seven out of these nine matchups.

At these odds, with Gomber on the mound, I couldn’t pass it up. I love the Reds bats to get hot tonight, starting with Mr. De La Dong.

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline

Bonus Bet: Elly De La Cruz Home Run (+500)

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Cincinnati Reds  TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

The Rockies handed the Reds their first defeat of 2024 last night.

It’s become almost a weekly holiday, Fade Austin Gomber Day. If you’re reading this, you must also be a devout follower of Mr. Gomber.

I talked about how he’s been bad on the road, about how he’s given up countless home runs; but usually Rockies pitchers do better outside of Colorado. Understandably with the way Coors Field is geared to favour hitters, coupled with the weather and atmospheric pressure; it’s my favorite park for a reason.

Gomber’s been bad away from home, but he’s been really bad at Great America Ballpark. He’s got just one start with the Rockies at this park, and it came last season.

Gomber lasted 5.1 innings, during which he surrendered 5 hits, 5 runs, and 3 home runs. The Reds’ lineup was so poor last season that Joey Votto was still a regular starter.

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Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline

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To Recap, MLB Betting Insights for July 11th, 2024:

In the Rockies vs. Reds game today, we’re rolling with two plays. Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline and we’re rolling with  Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-120) via BetOnline.

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