Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/11)

Today’s Nationals vs. Mets MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

On Thursday, the New York Mets (46-45) aim to secure a clean sweep against the Washington Nationals (42-51) in a showdown set for 1:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field.

Yesterday’s 6-2 victory over the Nationals gave the Mets a strong 2-0 lead in the series. Four various New York players, including Jose Iglesias who scored 3 of 4 at bat and drove in two runners, recorded multiple hits.

Can Washington manage to conclude the series on a positive note? Alternatively, is New York fated to secure the home sweep?

We don’t have much time before the action starts, so let’s dive into my predictions and best bets for the Nationals vs. Mets MLB match.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 51-57-1 (47.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Nationals vs Mets (7/11)

Nationals vs Mets Game Information

Matchup: Washington Nationals (42-51, 22-27 Away) vs. New York Mets (46-45, 23-25 Home)
Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024
Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
How to Watch Nationals vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, SNY

Nationals vs Mets MLB Probable Pitchers

Nationals: MacKenzie Gore (18 starts — 6-7, 3.83 ERA)
Mets: David Peterson (7 starts — 3-0, 3.58 ERA)

Mets vs Nationals MLB Odds & Spread

Mets vs. Nationals MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, July 11 at 9:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Nationals vs Mets Run Line

Washington Nationals +1.5 (-165)
New York Mets -1.5 (+145)

Mets vs Nationals Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-116)
Under 8.5 Runs (-104)

Nationals vs Mets Moneyline

Washington Nationals (+124)
New York Mets (-135)

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Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Trends

In its last seven road games, Washington has a straight-up record of 1-6.
The Mets have a 13-5 direct win record in their last 18 games against the NL.
The Over has been hit in four of Washington’s last six games.
The Over has been hit in seven of the last eight home games of the Mets.
In four of the last seven matchups between the Nationals and the Mets, the total score hit the Over.

Nationals vs Mets Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/11)

It can be fairly stated that the series has been predominantly one-sided up to this point. The Mets have dominated the Nationals in the first two games, with an aggregate score of 13-7 and a total of 23 hits compared to the Nationals’ 11.

The primary problem for the Nationals is their inability to play a complete game so far. They didn’t score until the eighth inning on Tuesday, and last night, they didn’t manage any runs after the fifth inning. This level of performance is insufficient against the Mets, a team that has been one of the most successful in MLB since the start of June.

The Nationals, unfortunately, can’t boast the same performance, as they’re languishing at the bottom of the Majors with a dismal 25.0% winning percentage since June 24. To add to their woes, they are going into tonight’s game on the back of a four-game losing streak, where they have lost by an average margin of 4.3 runs per game.

Not to mention, the Nats have lost six out of their last seven games on the road. On the flip side, the Mets have a solid 11-2 Straight Up record in their last 13 home games.

The Mets have been red-hot at Citi Field throughout the last several weeks.

However, it’s not surprising that Washington is struggling in Queens. The Nationals have found Citi Field to be an unwelcoming environment, losing six of their last seven away games against the Mets.

As they gear up to complete the sweep this afternoon, the Mets are bringing in David Peterson. The 28-year-old southpaw has been improving with each 2024 start, boasting a 1-0 record and a 3.00 ERA in his previous four starts, and knocking out 21 batters in the same number of innings. Not to overlook his impressive 4-1 record and 3.44 ERA in his 11 career appearances (including 8 starts) against Washington.

The Nationals are now placing their hopes on MacKenzie Gore. The former 2017 first-round pick has had a fairly solid year, but his recent performance has been patchy, as evidenced by a 7.07 ERA in his last three starts. Adding to the concern is the fact that he hasn’t managed a win since June 14.

Nationals LHP MacKenzie Gore must break out of his slump if Washington is going to win today.

With the way this series has gone so far, I expect the Mets to win again. Again, Washington has been the worst team in the MLB in recent weeks whereas New York is looking like a legitimate playoff threat. Unless Gore pitches his greatest performance of the season, I see this uphill battle being too much for the Nats to handle.

As far as the best bet goes, let’s just stick with the Mets on the moneyline.

Nationals vs. Mets MLB Prediction: NYM wins

Best Nationals vs. Mets Bet: NYM ML (-135)

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Best Nationals vs Mets MLB Player Prop (7/11)

There are a few Nationals vs. Mets player props that stand out, including David Peterson o4.5 total strikeouts (-120)

Peterson has displayed consistency with these props in his recent performances. He has a 5.3 strikeout average from his previous four starts, exceeding expectations in three of these games, including a five-strikeout game against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 6. He is now set to compete against the Nationals, currently tied for the 16th most strikeouts against left-handed pitchers this season.

Considering Washington’s .229 batting average against left-handed pitchers (ranking 26th), I predict Peterson will have another impressive performance on the mound.

Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 51-57-1 (47.2%)