Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/12)

Today’s Guardians vs. Rays MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

The Cleveland Guardians (57-35) are looking to strengthen their lead in the AL Central as they kick off a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (46-47) at Tropicana Field this Friday.

Tonight, the Guardians aim to prevent a third consecutive loss, following their 10-1 defeat to the Detroit Tigers. On the other hand, the Rays are riding high on a 5-4 victory against the New York Yankees, with Brad Lowe standing out by securing three hits and an RBI in his four at-bats.

Is it possible for Cleveland to overcome its slump? Or will Tampa Bay exacerbate the visitor’s troubles?

Let’s address those queries and spotlight the top MLB bets as we delve into today’s predictions and picks for the Guardians vs. Rays game.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 54-58-1 (48.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Guardians vs Rays (7/12)

Guardians vs Rays Game Information

Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (57-35, 27-24 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (46-47, 25-26 Home)
Venue & Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)
Date: Friday, July 12, 2024
Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays: MLB.TV, Fubo, Apple TV+

Guardians vs Rays MLB Probable Pitchers

Guardians: Carlos Carrasco (16 starts — 3-6, 5.22 ERA)
Rays: Taj Bradley (11 starts — 3-4, 3.23 ERA)

Rays vs Guardians MLB Odds & Spread

Rays vs. Guardians MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, July 12 at 9:44 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Guardians vs Rays Run Line

Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-175)
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+155)

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

Over 8 Runs (-105)
Under 8 Runs (-115)

Guardians vs Rays Moneyline

Cleveland Guardians (+126)
Tampa Bay Rays (-137)

How to Bet on 2024 MLB Season

Hoping to get in on the 2024 World Series betting action? Want to wager on more than just the Guardians vs. Rays series? Betting News has your baseball needs covered from March to November.

We offer numerous resources for baseball betting, including daily MLB odds, betting predictions, and expert picks. To help you get started, you can find these resources below:

MLB Betting Articles
MLB Betting Odds
MLB Picks Page

5/5 Review Rating

Bonus & Benefits
50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »

Competitive Odds Pricing
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook

Bet Now & Claim $1,000 »

Guardians vs Rays MLB Betting Trends

In its last five road games, Cleveland has a straight up record of 1-4.
In its last 10 home games, Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 7-3.
The Over hit in five of Cleveland’s last six games.
In four of Tampa Bay’s last six games as the favorite, the total score was under the predicted amount.
The Over was hit in each of the last five matchups between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field.

Guardians vs Rays Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/12)

Although the Guardians head into tonight’s game as leaders of the AL Central, their position is at risk if their current slump continues. Despite an impressive start to the season, they have a record of 6-9 SU over their past 15 games. Cleveland has also experienced losses in three of their last four matches, with an overall score of 24-15 against them.

Recently, the Rays were grappling with a slump, but their fortunes have changed after securing two victories in three matches against the Yankees. Now, Tampa Bay has the advantage of remaining in town for another series at Tropicana Field, where their record stands at 7-3 SU in the past 10 home games.

It’s important to mention that despite moving in opposite directions, the Guardians have a 63.2% success rate with 12-7 SU against AL East teams this season. On the other hand, the Rays have a lower success rate of 44.4% with 8-10 SU when they play against an AL Central team.

Despite the odds favoring them tonight, the Rays have only managed a 52.9% win rate as home favorites in 2024, making them the 12th worst in the MLB. On the other hand, the Guardians have fared better with a 55.6% win rate as road underdogs, placing them 6th.

The Guardians thrive when they’re against the odds on the road.

Tampa Bay also has to confront its lackluster recent record against Cleveland. In their last 15 encounters, the Guardians have triumphed over the Rays 10 times, which encapsulates three wins in their most recent four matchups.

The Guardians’ chance of winning, however, hinges on the performance of Carlos Carrasco. The experienced right-handed pitcher has had an unstable run with a 5.22 ERA in 16 starts, but he has been improving recently, as shown by a 3.68 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20 innings over his last four games.

That being said, his record is 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA in his last four games against Tampa Bay.

If Carrasco wants to outperform Rays RHP Taj Bradley, he needs to keep up his recent performance. The ex-2018 fifth-round pick has been delivering some of his top games this season. Over his last six starts, he has a record of 1-2 and a 1.29 ERA, limiting rival hitters to a slash line of .184/.261/.264.

Rays RHP Taj Bradley has been red-hot since the beginning of June. Can he maintain that momentum?

With the way the Guardians are struggling, let’s back the Rays to win. Tampa Bay is feeling good about itself after a series win over New York and is a good spot to keep things going as long as Bradley keeps up his strong play. It could wind up being close, however, the Rays are in a better position to win.

But no matter who wins, let’s take the Under on the 8-run total. A low-scoring affair is likely given that the Under is 16-10-1 when Cleveland is the road underdog and 19-15 when Tampa Bay is the home favorite. Additionally, Carrasco’s last 10 starts saw an average of 7.5 runs scored while all but one of Bradley’s 11 previous appearances featured seven or fewer total runs.

Guardians vs. Rays MLB Prediction: TB wins

Best Guardians vs. Rays Bet: u8 Total Runs (-115)

Get 50% up to $1,000 on your Guardians vs. Rays MLB predictions today at BetOnline

Best Guardians vs Rays MLB Player Prop (7/12)

You can’t go wrong with a handful of Guardians vs. Rays player props, including Carlos Carrasco o2.5 earned runs (-102).

Although the Under is favored for this prop, supporting the Over seems more logical. Carrasco has given up more than 2.5 earned runs in eight out of his 16 appearances to date, including in his two most recent starts where the Over was successful. In three out of his last four games against the Rays, the Over was also successful, with Carrasco allowing a minimum of six earned runs each time.

Although the Rays aren’t known for scoring a lot of runs, historical data indicates betting on the Over is a good strategy for tonight.

Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/12)

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 54-58-1 (48.2%)