FA Cup Final, Manchester City vs Manchester United: Prediction & Best Bets

The FA Cup has reached it’s final match, and we get an absolute classic! Fans are blessed with an additional installment of the Manchester Derby, as Manchester City and Manchester United meet once again in this Title Match. City just claimed their 5th straight English Premier League Title, and are looking to lift back to back FA Cup trophies.

Will they do just that after winning the EPL? Or are they already in vacation mode, giving Manchester United the opportunity to sneak away with a win? In this rivalry match, anything could happen.

Let’s dive into our prediction and best bets for the match!

FA Cup Title Match 

Can Haaland and Man City secure a second straight FA Cup Title?

Matchup Information – Manchester City vs Manchester United

• Venue & Location: Wembley Stadium (London, England)
• Date: Saturday, May 25th, 2024
• Kick Off: 10:00am Eastern
• Where to Watch: ESPN+

Betting Odds

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Money line

• Manchester City -305
• Draw +480
• Manchester United +810

Spread

• Man City -1.5 (-117)
• Manchester United +1.5 (-103)

Total

• Over 3.5 (+105)
• Under 3.5 (-130)

To Lift Trophy

• Manchester City -580
• Manchester United +425

Manchester Derby in the English FA Cup Final

Does United have any chance at all against City?

This is actually a repeat of last year’s FA Cup Final, where Manchester City beat Manchester United 2-1. City saw two goals from Ilkay Gündoğan in the 1st and 51st minutes, along with a Bruno Fernandes penalty in between for United. Will we see something similar tomorrow?

We’ve seen 7 of the L8 FA Cup Finals stay under 3.5 total goals, including the past four. The one outlier is Man City’s 6-0 routing of Watford in 2019. Nevertheless, these Cup Finals tend to be grunge matches, especially one that involve such a rich rivalry. Man United have 12 total FA Cup Titles, with the most recent being in 2016. They lost to City twice in the Premier League and in last year’s Cup Final to drop three straight against their Derby Foe. Man City is also unbeaten since December 6th.

You read that correctly. Machester City has not lost a game outright since December 6th, 2023 at Aston Villa, 1-0. Since then, they have won or drawn in 35 straight games, and they’ve actually won their last 7 outright.

United ended the season winning two straight games, but they were more than shaky all season long, eventually finishing 8th in the Premier League. They were the highest placed team with a negative goal differential on the season. With this being the last game of both team’s long season, and a Cup Final, I expect some fantastic football to be played on the pitch, and for the stars to shine.

I certainly side with City, assuming they don’t sit all their starters. Coming off an EPL Title, they should want to add as much hardware to the trophy case as they can. Based on the line, Vegas thinks exactly that is going to happen. However, I don’t think it get’s too out of hand.

FA Cup Title Best Bets

This is the 2nd straight Manchester Derby in the FA Cup Final

Best Bets: City/United Under 3.5 (-130)  BetOnline

This game has 2-1 written all over it. Let me just tell you what’s gonna happen.

Manchester City will certainly net at least one in the first half, probably within the first 20 or so minutes. They are going to come out firing on all cylinders, and they’ve scored in the first half hour in 4 of their L7 matches. After that Manchester United will be forced to play forward, trying to equalize, and City will be able to score again, making it 2-nil. From there, Manchester City will dominate possession, playing keep away from United, and not giving them a chance to catch up.

But of course, United will somehow find a way to give all their fans hope in the 85th minute (or later), but alas, it will be too late.

Give me a 2-1 Manchester City victory (+700), staying Under 3.5. Don’t be afraid, Pay the Juiceman.

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