Playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 of 2023 NFL season
- Clinching Scenarios
- Playoff Probabilities
- Draft Order
EDITOR’S NOTE: The following are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season.
AFC
CLINCHED:
Baltimore Ravens (11-3) — playoff berth
Baltimore Ravens (11-3) (at San Francisco (11-3); Christmas (Monday), 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC)
Baltimore clinches AFC North division title with:
- BAL win + CLE loss or tie OR
- BAL tie + CLE loss
Cleveland Browns (9-5) (at Houston (8-6); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS)
Cleveland clinches playoff berth with:
- CLE win + CIN loss + DEN loss or tie + BUF loss + MIA win or tie + IND loss or tie OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + BUF loss + MIA win or tie + DEN loss or tie OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + BUF loss + MIA win or tie + JAX loss + IND win OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + DEN loss or tie + JAX loss + IND win OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + BUF loss + KC win + IND win + JAX loss OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + DEN loss or tie + MIA win or tie + IND loss OR
- CLE win + PIT loss or tie + DEN loss or tie + MIA win or tie + JAX loss OR
- CLE win + CIN-PIT tie + BUF loss + IND win + JAX loss
Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) (vs. Las Vegas (6-8); Christmas (Monday), 1 p.m. ET, CBS)
Kansas City clinches playoff berth and AFC West division title with:
- KC win OR
- KC tie + DEN loss
Miami Dolphins (10-4) (vs. Dallas (10-4); Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX)
Miami clinches AFC East division title with:
- MIA win + BUF loss or tie OR
- MIA tie + BUF loss
Miami clinches playoff berth with:
- MIA win OR
- MIA tie + JAX loss OR
- MIA tie + IND loss + HOU loss OR
- MIA tie + IND loss or tie + CLE loss OR
- MIA tie + HOU loss or tie + CIN loss or tie OR
- MIA tie + CIN loss or tie + IND loss or tie
NFC
CLINCHED:
- San Francisco 49ers — NFC West division title
- Dallas Cowboys — playoff berth
- Philadelphia Eagles — playoff berth
Detroit Lions (10-4) (at Minnesota (7-7); Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX)
Detroit clinches NFC North division title with:
- DET win or tie
Detroit clinches playoff berth with:
- LAR loss or tie OR
- SEA loss or tie
San Francisco 49ers (11-3) (vs. Baltimore; Christmas (Monday), 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC)
San Francisco clinches NFC No. 1 seed, lone first-round bye and home-field advantage with:
- SF win + PHI loss + DAL loss + DET loss
