Playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 15 of 2023 NFL season
- Clinching Scenarios
- Playoff Probabilities
- Draft Order
EDITOR’S NOTE: The following are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season.
AFC
Baltimore Ravens (10-3) (at Jacksonville (8-5); Sunday night, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC)
Baltimore clinches playoff berth with:
- BAL win + DEN loss or tie + BUF loss or tie OR
- BAL win + DEN loss or tie + CLE loss or tie OR
- BAL win + DEN loss or tie + PIT loss or tie OR
- BAL win + DEN loss or tie + HOU loss or tie OR
- BAL win + BUF loss or tie + CLE loss or tie OR
- BAL win + BUF loss or tie + PIT loss or tie OR
- BAL win + BUF loss or tie + HOU loss or tie OR
- BAL win + CLE loss or tie + PIT-IND tie OR
- BAL win + HOU loss or tie + PIT-IND tie
NOTE: Several additional scenarios involving a Baltimore tie and combination of other teams losing or tying would also clinch a Ravens playoff berth.
NFC
Dallas Cowboys (10-3) (at Buffalo (7-6); Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX)
Dallas clinches playoff berth with:
- DAL win or tie OR
- LAR loss or tie + SEA loss or tie OR
- GB loss + LAR loss or tie + ATL loss or tie OR
- GB loss + ATL loss or tie + SEA loss or tie OR
- GB loss + ATL loss or tie + DET win or tie OR
- TB loss + MIN loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- TB loss + MIN loss or tie + SEA loss or tie OR
- TB loss + MIN loss or tie + DET win or tie OR
- TB loss + SF win or tie + DET win or tie OR
- TB loss + DET win or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- TB-GB tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- TB-GB tie + SEA loss or tie OR
- TB-GB tie + DET win or tie OR
- SEA loss or tie + MIN loss + DAL clinches strength-of-victory tiebreaker over ATL
Detroit Lions (9-4) (vs. Denver (7-6); Saturday night, 8:15 p.m. ET, NFLN)
Detroit clinches playoff berth with:
- DET win + SEA loss or tie + GB loss or tie OR
- DET win + SEA loss or tie + MIN loss or tie OR
- DET win + SEA loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- DET win + LAR loss or tie + MIN loss or tie + TB loss OR
- DET win + LAR loss or tie + ATL loss or tie + GB loss OR
- DET win + LAR loss or tie + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss or tie OR
- DET win + GB-TB tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- DET tie + TB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
- DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
- DET tie + LAR loss + SEA loss + ATL loss OR
- DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + ATL loss or tie OR
- DET tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR loss OR
- DET tie + GB loss + LAR loss + ATL loss or tie + NO loss or tie OR
- DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR tie OR
- DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + ATL loss or tie OR
- DET tie + GB-TB tie + MIN loss + LAR loss + ATL loss or tie
Philadelphia Eagles (10-3) (at Seattle (6-7); Monday night, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC)
Philadelphia clinches playoff berth with:
- PHI win or tie OR
- GB loss + ATL loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- GB loss + ATL loss or tie + SF win or tie + DET win OR
- TB loss + MIN loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- TB loss + MIN loss or tie + SF win or tie + DET win OR
- MIN loss or tie + ATL loss or tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- MIN loss or tie + ATL loss or tie + SF win or tie + DET win OR
- TB-GB tie + LAR loss or tie OR
- TB-GB tie + SF win or tie + DET win
San Francisco 49ers (10-3) (at Arizona (3-10); Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS)
San Francisco clinches NFC West division title with:
- SF win or tie OR
- LAR loss or tie