Lance Zierlein 2024 NFL mock draft 1.0: Falcons, Patriots make trades to land QBs

  • Parr 1.0
  • Reuter 3-round mock
  • Frelund 1.0
  • Zierlein 1.0
  • Edholm 1.0
  • Brooks 1.0
  • Jeremiah 1.0

In my first 2024 NFL mock draft, I am using team needs and relying a bit more heavily than usual on my prospect grades/evaluations to determine who lands where in Round 1. As we get closer to April, though, my mock drafts will have less to do with how I see these players and more to do with what I think teams want to do with each pick.

NOTES:

  1. The order for picks 1-32 is set following the conclusion of Super Bowl LVIII.
  2. Tune in for live coverage of the 2024 NFL Scouting Combine beginning Feb. 29 on NFL Network and NFL+.
Pick
1

Chicago Bears
(via CAR)

Caleb Williams
USC · QB · Junior

Williams’ tape was uneven in 2023, but the breadth of his talent and his upside on a rookie contract make him a sensible fit.

Pick
2

Washington Commanders

Jayden Daniels
LSU · QB · Senior

Some prognosticators have locked North Carolina’s Drake Maye into this spot, but Maye flashed while Daniels sustained in 2023. I like the draft’s top dual-threat QB here.

Pick
3

New England Patriots

Marvin Harrison Jr.
Ohio State · WR · Junior

Harrison is an easy plug-and-play option here, but it will be interesting to see if the Patriots feel pressured to take a QB at No. 3.

Pick
4

Arizona Cardinals

Rome Odunze
Washington · WR · Senior

The Cardinals need to add a big wideout. My comp for Odunze is Larry Fitzgerald. Perfect fit in Arizona.

Pick
5

Atlanta Falcons

Drake Maye
North Carolina · QB · Sophomore (RS)

PROJECTED TRADE WITH LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

New head coach Raheem Morris has plenty of offensive weapons, but he needs someone to run the show. Maye was inconsistent last season, but he has fantastic traits and high upside, so Atlanta makes a move for the QB.

Pick
6

New York Giants

Taliese Fuaga
Oregon State · OT · Senior

Fuaga is one of the finest pass protectors in the draft and some see him as a guard/tackle. He gives the Giants flexibility with where they’ll play Evan Neal.

Pick
7

Tennessee Titans

Joe Alt
Notre Dame · OT · Junior

Alt is a steady left tackle. He would be a welcome addition as a blind-side protector for Will Levis.

Pick
8

Los Angeles Chargers

Terrion Arnold
Alabama · CB · Sophomore (RS)

PROJECTED TRADE WITH ATLANTA FALCONS

Arnold fits the mold of press corner that Jim Harbaugh employed at Michigan. Cornerback is clearly one of the top needs on the board for the Chargers.

Pick
9

Chicago Bears

Malik Nabers
LSU · WR · Junior

Nabers and Georgia TE Brock Bowers would be perfect fits in new OC Shane Waldron’s offense (yes, even with Cole Kmet already at tight end). The Bears could also look to add a pass rusher opposite Montez Sweat in this slot.

Pick
10

New York Jets

JC Latham
Alabama · OT · Junior

The Jets must find a way to protect Aaron Rodgers next season. Latham can help in that regard and will also bolster the team’s running game as a crushing drive blocker.

Pick
11

Minnesota Vikings

Jared Verse
Florida State · Edge · Senior

The Vikings have big free agency decisions looming at defensive end. I see the explosive Verse as the best option at a position of need.

Pick
12

Denver Broncos

J.J. McCarthy
Michigan · QB · Junior

NFL evaluators have described McCarthy’s processing as “elite” in my conversations with them. Drew Brees was a great processer, but he didn’t have the same athletic ability that McCarthy offers. This just feels like a Sean Payton pick.

Pick
13

Las Vegas Raiders

Byron Murphy II
Texas · DT · Junior

Murphy is explosive and extremely powerful for his size. He feels like an easy selection for the Raiders in this spot.

Pick
14

New Orleans Saints

Laiatu Latu
UCLA · Edge · Senior

This pick could hinge on the medical evaluations for Latu, who had a serious neck injury at Washington before moving on to UCLA. Alabama’s Dallas Turner has great upside, but Latu is a technician with NFL-caliber rush moves already in his bag.

Pick
15

Indianapolis Colts

Brock Bowers
Georgia · TE · Junior

Colts GM Chris Ballard can find receivers, cornerbacks, pass rushers and offensive linemen later in the draft. He will have to act now to land a guy like Bowers, who can become a safety blanket for Anthony Richardson.

Pick
16

Seattle Seahawks

Dallas Turner
Alabama · Edge · Junior

I would love to give the Seahawks a tackle/guard with good toughness and above-average run-blocking ability in Troy Fautanu, but I can’t see them passing on a pass-rush talent like Turner here.

Pick
17

Jacksonville Jaguars

Quinyon Mitchell
Toledo · CB · Senior

Matching up against C.J. Stroud will be key moving forward for the Jaguars. Mitchell has great size and plus man-cover talent, which I saw him display at the Reese’s Senior Bowl last week.

Pick
18

Cincinnati Bengals

Olumuyiwa Fashanu
Penn State · OT · Junior (RS)

Fashanu has good size and length, and plenty of upside, but he still has work to do to reach his potential.

Pick
19

Los Angeles Rams

Nate Wiggins
Clemson · CB · Junior

The Rams need help on the perimeter. Wiggins is a long defender with exceptional long speed and above-average agility to match up against a variety of receivers.

Pick
20

Pittsburgh Steelers

Amarius Mims
Georgia · OT · Junior

Mims is a high-end talent and has the body type for his position that teams covet. Pairing him with fellow former Georgia Bulldog Broderick Jones could be a home run decision.

Pick
21

Miami Dolphins

Graham Barton
Duke · IOL · Senior

Barton is one of the safest linemen in this draft, offering great body control and legitimate multi-position flexibility. He has the talent to step in as a starting guard or center on Day 1.

Pick
22

Philadelphia Eagles

Kool-Aid McKinstry
Alabama · CB · Junior

The Eagles could be faced with a decision on whether to pick a DB here or trade back and take one. Philadelphia needs help on the back end and McKinstry is solid.

Pick
23

Houston Texans
(via CLE)

Chop Robinson
Penn State · Edge · Junior

I would sprint the card up if Robinson were to fall to here. With Jonathan Greenard ticketed for free agency, Robinson would give Houston a twitched-up edge rusher to complement Will Anderson Jr.

Pick
24

Dallas Cowboys

Troy Fautanu
Washington · OL · Senior

Fautanu could stay at tackle or slide inside in the pros. If the Cowboys pick Fautanu and decide to move Tyler Smith to his natural left tackle spot, they’ll have a left side that can protect Dak Prescott and move opponents in the run game.

Pick
25

Green Bay Packers

Tyler Guyton
Oklahoma · OT · Junior (RS)

David Bakhtiari‘s recent injury history and salary-cap hit in 2024 could make this an easy choice. Guyton is big, long and athletic with exciting protection potential, but he needs more game experience.

Pick
26

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
Missouri · CB · Junior (RS)

Rakestraw plays a very competitive brand of football and is capable of fitting into multiple coverage schemes. Bucs head coach Todd Bowles loves to create havoc up front and stay tight outside. Rakestraw fits the bill.

Pick
27

Arizona Cardinals
(via HOU)

Jackson Powers-Johnson
Oregon · C · Junior

Powers-Johnson was having a standout Senior Bowl week until he exited with a nagging hamstring injury. He has the size, strength and versatility to step in and start at guard or center.

Pick
28

Buffalo Bills

Brian Thomas Jr.
LSU · WR · Junior

The Bills could use younger safeties and pass-rush help, but with impending free agent Gabe Davis likely to garner a decent payday, the team could look to keep the cupboard stocked at receiver. Thomas would be a nice ingredient.

Pick
29

Detroit Lions

Darius Robinson
Missouri · DL · Senior

Robinson made the move from the interior to defensive end with impressive results this past season at Mizzou. He can rush from inside or the edge and help create a fearsome front for the Lions.

Pick
30

New England Patriots

Bo Nix
Oregon · QB · Senior

PROJECTED TRADE WITH BALTIMORE RAVENS

We could see the Patriots target the top receiver early on and then jump back into the first round to grab Nix, who had a strong 2023 campaign.

Pick
31

San Francisco 49ers

Ja'Tavion Sanders
Texas · TE · Junior

Sanders isn’t a great blocker, but he can beat man coverage and makes tough catches. He would provide Kyle Shanahan with a unique size matchup for his offense.

Pick
32

Kansas City Chiefs

Roman Wilson
Michigan · WR · Senior

The Chiefs seem to always be looking for receivers, and Wilson would be a home run for them. He’s a smooth athlete with the speed to separate.

  • LANCE'S MOCKS: 4.0
  • 3.0
  • 2.0
  • 1.0

Similar Posts