Brazil vs USA Prediction & Picks

Team USA may not have unlocked their best level often in the group stage of the Olympic men’s basketball tournament, but they are successfully halfway through their journey to a fifth straight gold medal. Unless one of the biggest upsets in basketball history happens today against Brazil (3:00 pm ET, USA Network).

As expected, Team USA won all three of their Group C games, finishing ahead of Nikola Jokic and Serbia. They hit the 100-point mark all three wins, with the best performance coming in an opening 110-84 win over Serbia.

Victory over Brazil will punch a ticket to a rematch against Serbia, who came from 24 down against Australia and advanced to the semifinals with a five-point overtime win over the Boomers.

Is there any chance that Brazil could throw a wrench into things? They made France and Germany work for their wins in Group B action, but a matchup with Team USA is the stiffest of all challenges. Brazil has three Olympic men’s basketball medals to their name, as they won bronze in 1948, 1960, and 1964. But they haven’t been past the semifinals since finishing fourth in 1968, and even better than their best is unlikely to touch the USA today.

Brazil vs USA Odds

Spread

Brazil +26.5 (-115)
USA -26.5 (-105)

Over/Under

Over 183.5 (-110)
Under 183.5 (-110)

See more Brazil vs USA odds at BetOnline. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a bonus to bet on this blockbuster Olympic women’s basketball tournament matchup.

Brazil vs USA Betting Analysis

While Team USA scored 110, 103, and 104 points in their group stage wins over Serbia, South Sudan, and Puerto Rico, how much did we see their very best?

The opener against Serbia was the best example of what Team USA can do against even the most elite competition. In scoring 110 points, they shot 56.3% from three and 62.3% overall from the field, and they held Serbia to 41.9% from the field.

They didn’t need to show up to the same degree to take care of South Sudan and Puerto Rico with relative ease, and they won’t need to today either in order to see off Brazil.

Brazil led almost all of the first half against France and even had a 12-point lead against the hosts in the second quarter, before things went south.

Against Germany, they rallied from an early 14-point deficit to send the game into halftime tied at 40. Again, they couldn’t take their challenge all the way, but they avoided the kind of routs that would have hurt their potential to reach the quarterfinals.

Thanks to a 102-84 win over Japan in their final Group B match, Brazil qualified for the quarters as the best of the third-place teams.

To deliver the kind of win they needed to get against Japan shows that there is some serious mettle in the squad.

But unless a miracle of mythic propositions happens, Brazil’s Olympic men’s basketball participation will come to an end today at the hands of the gold medal favorites.

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Team USA doesn’t need a blowout victory today, but with Serbia lying in wait in the semifinals, now may the time to flex their muscles even more and show on mercy, much like they did in destroying Serbia.

I like their chances to cover the spread, but as with most spreads around this number, there’s not a lot of reason to take it.

But there are three Brazil vs USA betting lines that stick out to me above the rest, and I feel good about them all.

The over hitting will require another 100-point performance, and it may also require Team USA allowing some points as well. In the group stage, they allowed 84, 86, and 83 points, so they have yet to fully shut down a team.

Also, look for Anthony Edwards to be heavily involved. He put up 26 points against Puerto Rico and had 13 against South Sudan and 11 against Serbia, and in what should be a handy rout, he should get a chance to show off again like he did against Puerto Rico.

Brazil vs USA Prediction: USA to win

Brazil vs USA Picks: 1) Brazil/USA over 183.5, 2) USA first half -15.5 (-110 at BetOnline), 3) LeBron James over 15.5 points (-135 at Bovada), 3) Anthony Edwards over 13.5 points (-110 at Bovada)

Other Olympic Men’s Basketball Betting Information

Where to Bet on Brazil vs USA & the Olympic Men’s Basketball Tournament

With NBA stars like LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and Victor Wembanyama taking part, the Olympic men’s basketball tournament is garnering a lot of betting interest from far and wide. Therefore, bettors have no shortage of options for where to bet on Olympic men’s basketball odds.

The odds in this piece come from BetOnline, which has a wealth of betting markets for this event and other Paris 2024 events. Whether you are looking to bet on one of the major events like the men’s and women’s basketball tournaments or you want Olympic breakdancing odds, weightlifting odds, or modern pentathlon odds, BetOnline has what you are looking for.

Including BetOnline, below are some of the sites that we recommend for betting on the Olympics.

Best Betting Sites for the Olympics

BetOnline (review)
BetUS (review)
Betwhale (review)
Bovada (review)
MyBookie (review)

Are you unfamiliar with any of the sites listed? Check out our reviews for each site to learn more about them. Our sportsbook reviews cover available betting options, deposit and payout options, mobile betting, and bonuses and loyalty/VIP programs.

Brazil vs USA Olympic Men’s Basketball Quarterfinal Prediction & Picks

Brazil vs USA Odds

Spread

Over/Under

Brazil vs USA Betting Analysis